Saturday, 14 March 2015

Euro QE and Debt Restructuring

OMFIF on risks of European QE
.......It feels as if the markets are programmed to crash when the ECB's QE programme nears its end, if not before.
Pettis on Debt restructuring
As soon as Draghi made the statement to do “whatever it takes”, markets recognized that the ECB was in effect guaranteeing the bonds of EU member states whose credibility was in question, and yields immediately dropped. It is important to understand why this was effectively a kind of debt restructuring. .......Draghi’s promised immediately reduced a larger part of the uncertainty associated with the resolution of the debt. The collapse in uncertainty reversed the reflexive process in which rising uncertainty caused declining economic expectations, which caused rising uncertainty.

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