Sunday, 11 April 2021

Richard Werner with Danielle DiMartino Booth - Money Creation & Inflationary Outcomes 2020 vs 2008

Leading thinker on the creation of 'Money' 

Long interview, at the close of the interview discusses policies leading to inflationary / hyperinflationary outcomes since 2020


Papers

Reconsidering Monetary Policy: An Empirical Examination of the Relationship Between Interest Rates and Nominal GDP Growth in the U.S., U.K., Germany and Japan


Can banks individually create money out of nothing? — The theories and the empirical evidence




Janet Yellen - Profound Impacts

 "As I prepare to meet with my colleagues from around the world this week at the IMF and World Bank Spring Meetings, I find myself thinking back to the policymakers who gathered in Bretton Woods a year before I was born to define our post-war order. Though it was a different time, I empathize with the enormous weight they faced; the pressure to come together after a global catastrophe in building an enduring and interconnected system aimed at promoting peace and prosperity throughout the world. Our current juncture is no less significant—what we do in the coming months and years will have profound impacts on the trajectory of our country and on the global economic order."

https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy0101


Sunday, 18 October 2020

The Endgame Podcasts - Grant Williams & Bill Fleckenstein

A number of Interviews including Felix Zulauf, Marc Faber, Edward Chancellor, Lacy Hunt, Russell Napier, Jim Grant, Mike Green, 

https://ttmygh.podbean.com/

Sunday, 7 June 2020

In Gold we Trust - 2020

Latest in Gold We Trust Report

HERE

"So the question arises whether gold will not increasingly take on the role of Treasuries as the most liquid safe-haven asset."


Saturday, 7 September 2019

How to Ride the Gold & Silver Bull - Rick Rule - Brien Lundin - Peak Prosperity Chris Martenson

Discussion of drivers and tactics for the Precious Metals Bullmarket


Ray Dalio - The Three Big Issues and the 1930's Analogue

More from Dalio - HERE
The most important forces that now exist are: 
1) The End of the Long-Term Debt Cycle (When Central Banks Are No Longer Effective) 
+2) The Large Wealth Gap and Political Polarity 
+3) A Rising World Power Challenging an Existing World Power 
= The Bond Blow-Off, Rising Gold Prices, and the Late 1930s Analogue

Sunday, 25 August 2019

Negative Yielding Bonds vs Gold

Sprott Chart HERE


The Problems of US Dollar Reserve Currency - Mark Carney at Jackson Hole. Dollar's Exorbitant Privilege Coming to an End - JP Morgan

One of the elite Central Bankers, and Goldman Alumni on the problems of US Dollar as Reserve Currency. 
The ultimate devaluation of Fiat Currencies should be against Gold.

BoE Carney Paper HERE
Discussions HERE and HERE


JP Morgan advising clients to prepare for Dollar devaluation by holding 5% in Gold.
5% Holding HERE
JPM on USD Exorbitant Privilege HERE

Saturday, 20 July 2019

Ray Dalio - Paradigm Shifts and Gold

"Most people now believe the best “risky investments” will continue to be equity and equity-like investments, such as leveraged private equity, leveraged real estate, and venture capital, and this is especially true when central banks are reflating. As a result, the world is leveraged long, holding assets that have low real and nominal expected returns that are also providing historically low returns relative to cash returns (because of the enormous amount of money that has been pumped into the hands of investors by central banks and because of other economic forces that are making companies flush with cash). I think these are unlikely to be good real returning investments and that those that will most likely do best will be those that do well when the value of money is being depreciated and domestic and international conflicts are significant, such as gold. Additionally, for reasons I will explain in the near future, most investors are underweighted in such assets, meaning that if they just wanted to have a better balanced portfolio to reduce risk, they would have more of this sort of asset. For this reason, I believe that it would be both risk-reducing and return-enhancing to consider adding gold to one’s portfolio. I will soon send out an explanation of why I believe that gold is an effective portfolio diversifier." 

Saturday, 22 June 2019

Gold Breakout

Charlie Morris at Atlas Pulse - HERE


Correlations of gold price to real rates and matrix gold price against rates and inflation.

























and gold vs investment flows
















Gold as % if investable assets
"Gold ETF holdings used to represent 1% of US equity market cap in 2011, a number which has dropped to 0.3%. That is gold used to be equivalend weight as Exxon, a global giant, has now dropped to Starbucks. Gold doesn’t seem like a crowded trade to me."





Sunday, 18 November 2018

Gold Remonetisation - Basel III - Gold as Tier 1 Asset at 100% Valuation

I have seen little public commentary on the Basel III changes, but this seems to set the stage for serious flows into Physical Gold by financial institutions.

....under Basel III, monetary gold now qualifies as a Tier 1 asset, and is 100% valued for the purposes of banking viability. Another point to consider is that SIFIs are now required to quadruple their reserves when compared to the previous minimum requirements before the banking crisis. Essentially, monetary gold is now considered risk free. This significant development remains relatively unknown – for now......The Basel Committee on Banking Standards (BCBS) scrapped the old Basel II framework and put in place a plan that will be fully realized by all SIFIs by 2019.......February 2018 marked a major turning point for gold – monetary gold to be more specific – when the Swiss National Pension Fund switched out of synthetic gold derivatives into physical gold. Monetary gold is defined, in the new Basel III banking capital rules, as “physical gold held in their own vaults or in trust.” The Swiss decision complied with the new banking standards regarding capital adequacy as it relates to solvency and viability. All Systemically Important Financial Institutions (SIFI) must comply with the new rules for Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSF) and Liquidity by January 2019. Lessons learned from the last liquidity crisis, when Lehman Brothers nearly caused a global financial meltdown, forced a rethink in how assets held on an institution’s balance sheet are to be valued. Counter-party risk became extremely important again. In short, when trust between SIFIs fails, liquidity dries up as lending ceases due to solvency fears. The need for liquidity was a key change in the creation of the new standards, and it shone a spotlight on an asset that had largely been ignored for this purpose – physical gold.
Since the financial crisis government bonds have served to recapitalise the banks. As QE reduced interest rates the value of bonds increased.

If we have reached a point where interest rates increase, through distrust of government debt and bonds, this banking capital value will decrease.

Could banking flows into gold drive increased prices and  become an essential counter-weight to decreasing bond values, and capital, for the banks?

http://bmg-group.com/gold-re-monetization-is-closer-than-many-realize/