Two recent presentations from the AMA
State of the Market
Metals Outlook
Seeking Junior Gold Miners and Silver Miners for Investment. Manage Your Hope & Fear. You really cannot just buy and hold - sell some to greed - buy into fear was never more true but hard to do.
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Tuesday, 25 February 2014
Global Mine Financing Guide - Mayer Brown - 2014
Part of Mining Journal's "Leaders Series"
A detailed guide to issues in mine financing with round-table discussion involving Ernst & Young, Mayer Brown, SRK and BMO.
A detailed guide to issues in mine financing with round-table discussion involving Ernst & Young, Mayer Brown, SRK and BMO.
Monday, 24 February 2014
Gold Miner Bulls and Bears
BMO Metals & Mining Conference 2014
The big BMO institutional conference before PDAC.
Expect podcasts in a week or two HERE and links to previous conferences.
BMO's team, transactions and biases.
Last Year's 2013 Metals & Mining Research 200pp company coverage.
Expect podcasts in a week or two HERE and links to previous conferences.
BMO's team, transactions and biases.
Last Year's 2013 Metals & Mining Research 200pp company coverage.
Mining's Cycle - Quinton Hennigh
An article dating back to 2012, Quinton Hennigh, an industry geologist who also writes with Brent Cook at Exploration Insights, suggests we should expect a pivot point where gold mining and exploration proliferate.
Sunday, 23 February 2014
World Economic Forum - Mining & Metals Scenarios to 2030
HERE - can't see a publication date but may date back to 2010
Saturday, 22 February 2014
Brent Cook & John Kaiser Discuss Markets and Stock Picks
Al Korelin discussion with Cook & Kaiser and others
Interesting to see the different approach of the industry geo, Cook, looking for deposits that work at low metal prices, against the investor looking for leverage to a higher metal price, and the swing from being priced for bankruptcy to profit by Mymikan Capital's Dan Oliver.
Interesting to see the different approach of the industry geo, Cook, looking for deposits that work at low metal prices, against the investor looking for leverage to a higher metal price, and the swing from being priced for bankruptcy to profit by Mymikan Capital's Dan Oliver.
Brent Cook - Peak Discovery
A great article by Brent Cook outlining some of the miners' problems which drive him to believe there will be growing demand for quality discoveries and deposits.
Thursday, 20 February 2014
Sheldon Inwentash Insider Positions
Inca Kola points to Kip Keen's article at Mineweb discussing the limited volumes coming into the miners on the venture exchange and how the oil dominated venture index can give some misleading signals, as I
Sunday, 16 February 2014
Bounces in Hinde's 90 Percent Club
Hinde Capital ran an article in October 2013 listing some of the biggest fallers in the mining sector, down 90% or more from their old highs - HERE
They highlighted that prices were falling below cost of production.
Below is a watchlist of the stocks. A number of things to note.......
They highlighted that prices were falling below cost of production.
Below is a watchlist of the stocks. A number of things to note.......
$10bn Wall of Funding waiting in the Mining Sector's Wings
Article at Mineweb
“the money is getting stuck in the funds and not being invested, mainly because the fund managers are doing far more comprehensive due diligences than have previously been done and not everyone is managing to jump the hurdles.” Much of the reason for this, Tyler explains, is that there has been a significant difference between the type of returns that have been promised and what has been delivered.“In the past you had to have a good deposit if you wanted to raise funds, but now you have to have a good deposit and good management. In the past we have had good deposits ruined by poor management; it is easy to do the calculations on the geology, it is hard to do the due diligence on management.”
Investors have said to the majors, stop investing capex in projects which can’t justify a return, start giving back capital to us as your shareholders
Saturday, 15 February 2014
Aussie Miners - Eight Elephants - Tony Locantro / MacQuarie Gold Equities
Article at The Digger follow "Download" for the PDF - or HERE
More general review of Aussie Gold Miners - July 2013 MacQuarie Sifting through the AshesRegardless of the negativity and paranoia surrounding the junior resource sector, there will still be companies graduating through the ranks to the mid-caps.......even though they are rare
Thursday, 6 February 2014
Wednesday, 5 February 2014
Ernst & Young - Mining M&A - 2013 Trend - 2014 Outlook
Report from E&Y - Summary
Full Report - Includes longer interview with Randy Smallwood of Silver Wheaton.
And this trend in the M&A drivers;
Full Report - Includes longer interview with Randy Smallwood of Silver Wheaton.
And this trend in the M&A drivers;
Tuesday, 4 February 2014
Junior Mining M&A - Silver Standard Purchase Marigold Mine
Silver Standard continue the theme of Junior / Mid-Tier miners buying quality but non-core assets from the majors, in this case the Marigold Mine from Barrick & Goldcorp for $275m
Saturday, 1 February 2014
OT - Nineties Night - Oasis - Cigarettes & Alcohol
Back in the day, when the Blues were the Other Manchester team, playing at Maine Road, while the class of 92 lived the dream at Old Trafford. How times change.
Oasis Definitely Maybe, the first and the best, the sound of the City.
Oasis Definitely Maybe, the first and the best, the sound of the City.
Thursday, 30 January 2014
Full Watchlist of the Venture Index - Poised for Golden Cross?
Bullmarketrun have been calling the turn on the Venture this year.
Some are waiting for volume and clearer signals, some of which may be near. In the meantime the market bifurcation and selective bull market noted by Rule, Roulston and Kaiser is clear with strong leaders and laggards. A full stock watchlist of the Canadian Venture Index $CDNX is included below.
Some are waiting for volume and clearer signals, some of which may be near. In the meantime the market bifurcation and selective bull market noted by Rule, Roulston and Kaiser is clear with strong leaders and laggards. A full stock watchlist of the Canadian Venture Index $CDNX is included below.
Rob McEwen Interview at Mineweb
Interview HERE
I like grade. The higher the grade the more attractive the project is to me. I like projects that don't need enormous capital. I look for projects where management hasn't sold royaties or has an inclination to sell them because they're taking away, in my mind, the profit of the industry.
I'd say we're either at or extremely close to the bottom and as an investor I'm not prepared to wait to see if the bottom's there because it's very hard to pick it. Because, as we talked about the performance last August, if you you're not taking advantage of it right now, you're going to miss a big part of the move. And when you look at the distance these stocks have to travel to get to their old highs, there's some wonderful numbers in terms of performance that I think we're going to see.
Tuesday, 28 January 2014
AME BC Mineral Exploration Roundup 2014
After the Vancouver investor show comes the more Geo / Industry focussed AME roundup.
The companies here are presenting to geo-peer review rather than promoters and retail investors.
Many of the exhibitors are service providers to the industry....... more .....
The companies here are presenting to geo-peer review rather than promoters and retail investors.
Many of the exhibitors are service providers to the industry....... more .....
Sunday, 26 January 2014
Junior Gold Mining M&A - Northern Star to 350k oz with Barrick's Kanowna Bell Mine
Following on from their acquisition of Barrick's Plutonic Mine in Australia they have now announced a further Barrick Mine acquisition at Kanowna along with exploration and development potential at East Kundana JV.
Saturday, 25 January 2014
Financial Times - Questioning Paper Gold - Learn from Buba Demand Delivery / & Grant Williams Back-Story
The FT is usually very dismissive of the gold bugs.
Here Neil Collins asks the questions about paper and physical gold and why the Bundesbank has not had their gold back. This follows John Dizard's previous article.
The longer Grant Williams article explores the background of previous problems with banks holding gold short positions who left the gold market, as recently announced by others, like Deutschebank.
Here Neil Collins asks the questions about paper and physical gold and why the Bundesbank has not had their gold back. This follows John Dizard's previous article.
The longer Grant Williams article explores the background of previous problems with banks holding gold short positions who left the gold market, as recently announced by others, like Deutschebank.
As has been remarked here before, forecasting the price is for mugs and bugs. But one day the ties that bind this pixelated gold may break, with potentially catastrophic results. So if you fancy gold at today’s depressed price, learn from Buba and demand delivery.
Friday, 24 January 2014
Thursday, 23 January 2014
Wednesday, 22 January 2014
Management and Institutional Ownership - Skin in the Game
Article by Tickerscores with interesting charts on the changing profile of ownership through development stages, in particular the ramp up in Institutional ownership at PFS study stage.
Also highlighting the ranges of ownership to benchmark junior and exploration management stakes.
Also highlighting the ranges of ownership to benchmark junior and exploration management stakes.
Gold Newsletter
Brien Lundin coverage HERE
One of the more established newsletter writers, including reports from New Orleans conference and stock picks from Brent Cook, Eric Coffin, Lawrence Roulston, Scott Gibson and others.
One of the more established newsletter writers, including reports from New Orleans conference and stock picks from Brent Cook, Eric Coffin, Lawrence Roulston, Scott Gibson and others.
Monday, 20 January 2014
Miners Going Green on Volume
Some miner/explorer charts showing price increases on high relative volume over the past month.
While plenty are just half penny-crappers doubling to a penny there are some, particularly on less dramatic volume, which are the clear leaders attracting the current fund flows.
More to do to exclude stocks with recent splits, though these should flag on the charts, and a closer review required of .ax stock sectors. A number are driven by M&A.
Quite a few graphite and rare earth stocks moving and nickel after the Indonesian announcement.
As always only some starting point for due diligence.
While plenty are just half penny-crappers doubling to a penny there are some, particularly on less dramatic volume, which are the clear leaders attracting the current fund flows.
More to do to exclude stocks with recent splits, though these should flag on the charts, and a closer review required of .ax stock sectors. A number are driven by M&A.
Quite a few graphite and rare earth stocks moving and nickel after the Indonesian announcement.
As always only some starting point for due diligence.
Sunday, 19 January 2014
Barron's Roundtable 2014 - Felix Zulauf on Gold - Fred Hickey Picks
Friday, 17 January 2014
Jordan Roy-Byrne - Junior Mining Stocks Have Bottomed
Roy-Byrne steered clear of the bear in 2012 but came back bullish too early in 2013.
Now considers that the Juniors have Bottomed
the stronger and higher quality companies are showing leadership. The risk has shifted from getting caught in a final plunge to missing out on the rebound.He reviews the Venture exchange's performance as we did HERE yesterday.
Thursday, 16 January 2014
Brent Cook - Rules of Thumb for Junior Mining Speculators - Light at the End of the Tunnel (Plus Discussion with Korelin)
A pivotal year for junior mining and exploration investors.
Notes on company and project review from Brent Cook
Brent Cook Discusses with Al Korelin
Notes on company and project review from Brent Cook
Brent Cook Discusses with Al Korelin
- Number of deposits held by juniors economic and selling at a discount.
- Be very selective on early stage exploration
- Competent people with cash and good projects
- Early view of costs to get out of ground and rock potential.
Canadian Venture's Start to 2014
A very strong start to 2014 with hardly a session down and moving above the 50d and 200d averages.
FT - Gold Mining - Squandered Opportunity
Interesting timing for the FT to take an interest in Gold Miners as they make a strong start to 2014.
Plenty of truth in the errors made.
Plenty of truth in the errors made.
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